Download PDF by Shripad Tuljapurkar, Naohiro Ogawa, Anne H. Gauthier: Ageing in Advanced Industrial States: Riding the Age Waves -

By Shripad Tuljapurkar, Naohiro Ogawa, Anne H. Gauthier

ISBN-10: 9048135524

ISBN-13: 9789048135523

Inhabitants progress slowed the world over within the final a long time of the 20 th century, altering considerably our view of the longer term. The twenty first century is probably going to work out the tip to global inhabitants development and develop into the century of inhabitants getting older, marked via low fertility and ever-increasing existence expectancy. those tendencies have triggered many to foretell a dismal destiny attributable to an unparalleled fiscal burden of inhabitants getting older. In reaction, industrialized international locations might want to enforce powerful social and financial rules and courses. this can be the ultimate quantity in a chain of 3. The papers integrated discover many examples and improve the foundation for potent financial and social guidelines by means of investigating the industrial, social, and demographic effects of the variations within the buildings of inhabitants and kinfolk. those effects contain adjustments in financial habit, either in exertions and monetary markets, and with reference to saving and intake, and intergenerational transfers of cash and care.

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Additional resources for Ageing in Advanced Industrial States: Riding the Age Waves - Volume 3 (International Studies in Population)

Example text

This error pattern for age structure projections made by the UN was found for Northern America, Europe, Latin America and Oceania (Keilman 2001), and in projections prepared by statistical agencies in developed countries such as Canada, Denmark, the Netherlands, Norway and the United Kingdom (Keilman 1997). Box 4 illustrates the case of Japan, based on UN projections since 1975. Data from the 1998-round of UN projections were taken as actual. Box 4 Errors in age structure projections Percent 30 Percentage errors in UN-projections for age structures.

Age-Structural Transitions: Co-varying Waves, and Co-varying Waves and Troughs The problem of waves from different cohorts reaching different key life-cycle stages simultaneously has already been noted. But equally well, a trough arriving at one life-cycle stage may be accompanied by a wave at another. Both of these trends require monitoring to avoid the possibility of negative policy decisions being made. In the first case, there is the direct and obvious problem of competition for resources. In the second the problems may be more latent and a result of perceptions.

Loriaux, D. Remy & E. ), Populations agées et révolution grise. Bruxelles: Editions Ciaco. Macunovich, D. (1999). The fortunes of one’s birth: Relative cohort size and the youth labour market in the United States. Population Economics, 12(2), 215–272. New Shorter Oxford English Dictionary. (1993). New shorter oxford english dictionary, 2 vols. Oxford: Clarendon. Pool, I. (1999). People (= population) and public policy in New Zealand. NZ Population Review, 25, 57–79. Pool, I. (2000). Vers un modèle de la ‘transition age-structurelle’: Une conséquence mais aussi une composante de la transition démographique.

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Ageing in Advanced Industrial States: Riding the Age Waves - Volume 3 (International Studies in Population) by Shripad Tuljapurkar, Naohiro Ogawa, Anne H. Gauthier


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